Election predictions

Ok, well, since everyone else is doing it, I might as well. As you all know by now, I've worked my ass off for Kerry here in Florida. I've canvassed, worked an Edwards rally, phone banked, etc. I think I have changed some minds, but that being said, I dont think it will be enough this time.

Here are my election predictions: 49.2% Bush and 48.6% Kerry

Bush wins with 279 EVs, 259 for Kerry.

Bush gets all the states that he won in 2000 including FL and OH (I think Kerry made a mistake to focus so much on OH)...and also gains MO and NM...

except for NH (Kerry will take that one)...

So, that's my prediction...in my dreams, Kerry would get both OH and FL which would be basically a landslide for Kerry and we could start getting this country on the right track again...but I'm not sure if the country is ready for that yet...they are still just too divided, and there is too little substance to the debate going on throughout the media...

I do think that the media is the problem, and I think that is where the Democrats need to focus in the future...the Republicans have been so successful in defining the media as being liberal, even though any impartial observer would think that was crazy...

The media is about ratings and sensationalism, and thats the way this election was run...it wasn't about truth, it was about ratings, and what a shame for democracy...this election should have been about the issues and the real questions facing this country, but it wasn't...

That being said, I think that the questions will have to be faced soon by the Bush administration, and if they don't (hopefully) do too much damage, the Democrats will have a chance to fix it...so my future predictions...if Bush wins...the Democrats will gain a house in Congress in two years...

Will see what happens...if Kerry wins, it will be wonderful...I just dont feel it right now...

PSST!! All you people who claim that the media is liberal!!

Let's just SEE if they fact check this like they fact checked into Rather-gate...

If they do, then is that good journalism, or is that the media being liberal...thinka about it...

If they dont investigate this, then you admit that the media is NOT liberal!!

NY TImes Iraq Article

The Iraqi interim government has warned the United States and international nuclear inspectors that nearly 380 tons of powerful conventional explosives - used to demolish buildings, make missile warheads and detonate nuclear weapons - are missing from one of Iraq's most sensitive former military installations.
The huge facility, called Al Qaqaa, was supposed to be under American military control but is now a no man's land, still picked over by looters as recently as Sunday. United Nations weapons inspectors had monitored the explosives for many years, but White House and Pentagon officials acknowledge that the explosives vanished sometime after the American-led invasion last year.
The White House said President Bush's national security adviser, Condoleezza Rice, was informed within the past month that the explosives were missing. It is unclear whether President Bush was informed. American officials have never publicly announced the disappearance, but beginning last week they answered questions about it posed by The New York Times and the CBS News program "60 Minutes."
Administration officials said Sunday that the Iraq Survey Group, the C.I.A. task force that searched for unconventional weapons, has been ordered to investigate the disappearance of the explosives.

more on link...

Now, the Bush administration is saying that there were no weapons there when the US invaded, and say that an NBC reporter was there and didn't see the weapons. This was POSTED in the Drudge Report, and of course...the media has picked it up (notice, when you click that it is from Drudge):

http://www.juiceenewsdaily.com/1004/news/iraq_weapons.html

But tonight, NBCNEWS reported, once: The 380 tons of powerful conventional explosives were already missing back in April 10, 2003 -- when U.S. troops arrived at the installation south of Baghdad! An NBCNEWS crew embedded with troops moved in to secure the Al-Qaqaa weapons facility on April 10, 2003, one day after the liberation of Iraq. According to NBCNEWS, the HMX and RDX explosives were already missing when the American troops arrived. It is not clear why the NYTIMES failed to report the cache had been missing for 18 months -- and was reportedly missing before troops even arrived. "The U.S. Army was at the sight one day after the liberation and the weapons were already gone," a top Republican blasted from Washington late Monday.

more on link...

Well, that reporter came out and SAID that they didn't know if they saw it or not, cause they weren't looking for these things...

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6323933

No one disputes that the explosives are missing. The crucial question is exactly when they disappeared. Iraq’s Ministry of Science and Technology told the IAEA that the explosives were looted sometime in the seven weeks after U.S. forces showed up in Al-Qaqaa, when they presumably could have taken steps to secure the materials.
Three-week window
U.S. defense officials said Tuesday that the materials could have vanished during a period of about three weeks, between March 15, 2003, when inspectors for the IAEA confirmed that at least some of the materials were still stored under IAEA seal at Al-Qaqaa, and April 4, when U.S. troops arrived.
On March 15, said Melissa Fleming, a spokeswoman for the IAEA, “the seals on the doors on the bunkers were checked at many of the bunkers to see if they were still there and hadn’t been tampered with, and that was the case.”

snip...

An NBC News crew that accompanied the U.S. soldiers who seized the base three weeks into the war said troops saw no sign of the missing HMX and RDX.
Reporter Lai Ling Jew, who was embedded with the Army’s 101st Airborne, 2nd Brigade, said Tuesday on MSNBC TV that the news team stayed at the base for about 24 hours.
“There wasn’t a search,” she said. “The mission that the brigade had was to get to Baghdad. That was more of a pit stop there for us. And, you know, the searching, I mean, certainly some of the soldiers headed off on their own, looked through the bunkers just to look at the vast amount of ordnance lying around.
“But as far as we could tell, there was no move to secure the weapons, nothing to keep looters away.”

The unit commander says the same thing (contradicting the White House spin)...

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/10/27/politics/27bomb.html?oref=login&oref=login&pagewanted=print&position=White=
White House officials reasserted yesterday that 380 tons of powerful explosives may have disappeared from a vast Iraqi military complex while Saddam Hussein controlled Iraq, saying a brigade of American soldiers did not find the explosives when they visited the complex on April 10, 2003, the day after Baghdad fell.But the unit's commander said in an interview yesterday that his troops had not searched the facility and had merely stopped there for the night.

A few days earlier, some soldiers from the division thought they had discovered a cache of chemical weapons that turned out to be pesticides. Several of them came down with rashes, and they had to go through a decontamination procedure. Colonel Anderson said he wanted to avoid a repeat of those problems, and because he had already seen stockpiles of weapons in two dozen places, did not care to poke through the stores at Al Qaqaa."I had given instructions, 'Don't mess around with those. It looks like they are bunkers; we're not messing around with those things. That's not what were here for,' " he said. "I thought we would be there for a few hours and move on. We ended up staying overnight."


And finally...the soldiers that DID look specifically for these weapons (which means that we could have secured these weapons, cause we were there)...said that they WERE there before the looting!!
It was even reported on Fox News!!

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,83252,00.html

Col. John Peabody, engineer brigade commander of the 3rd Infantry Division, said troops found thousands of 2-by-5-inch boxes, each containing three vials of white powder, together with documents written in Arabic that dealt with how to engage in chemical warfare.
Initial reports suggest the powder is an explosive, but tests are still being done, a senior U.S. official said. If confirmed, it would be consistent with what the Iraqis say is the plant's purpose, producing explosives and propellants.

According to U.N. weapons inspectors, who spoke on condition of anonymity, the Iraqis filled warheads and artillery shells with explosives at the site and manufactured bomb casings there. The activities, for conventional weaponry, were allowed under U.N. resolutions. But the resolutions, passed after the 1991 Gulf War, ban Iraq from possessing chemical, biological and nuclear weapons and the long-range missiles to deliver them.

So...that's the real story, let's see if the media gets to the bottom of it like they did the Rathergate...I just heard ABC news says that the White House had muddied the water enough so there will be no damage...well, it SHOULD be up to the MEDIA to CLEAR the waters...that's the JOB of the media...

So, let's see the liberal media in action...

The Great Moral outrage...

I am angered and outraged that a debate that focused on major issues of the United States, that will decide the future of this country has been hijacked by the fake "horror" of calling someone who is proudly and openly "out" as a lesbian, a lesbian. It is NOT an insult to call someone a lesbian. It is like calling someone who is black, black.

The last two mornings I have watched Good Morning America to hear the spin of the last few days, I have heard nothing else but a soundbite (repeatedly) of John Kerry saying that Dick Cheney's daughter is a lesbian. Well, since Dick Cheney himself has said (repeatedly) that his daughter is gay, this isn't much of a surprise to me. Do people not know that being a lesbian and being gay are the same thing? Where is the news here? Perhaps that people are outraged when an openly gay homosexual is called as such? I thought the country was beyond that. If I called "Queer Eye for the Straight Guy" a show that stars five gay people, would that be horrific and shocking, a moral outrage? No, it is simply the truth.

The real news to me is that if the media hadn't been spoon-fed this issue from the Republicans on the so aptly named "Spin Alley" after the debate, it would never have been a big issue to the American people. What a great power the media has. The big news to me is how important it is to me to be sure that the media uses that power honestly.

The media has failed the people of the United States. Instead of focusing on the issues, the issues that are going to affect peoples lives, they are focusing on the mock-outrage manufactured by the Republican spin machine to take the focus off of the issues. How will calling Mary Cheney a lesbian affect people's lives. It will not.

With the groundbreaking reporting of Brian Ross of ABC News about the injured soldiers coming back from Iraq, with the news from Ted Koppel that John Kerry's account and the official account of how he won his Silver Star was verified by everyone who witnessed it in Vietnam (which goes directly against a republican attack ad that greatly affected the election so far), with the reports coming out of Iraq where more than 20 of our brave soldiers have lost their lives in the last few days, where we have a record deficits with no end in site after having surpluses only 4 years ago, why is the focus on this instead? Where is the news? Where is the reporting?

The media has failed the American people with their exclusive coverage of this non-issue from the debate. It has failed me, it has failed you. The media has a responsibility and they need to use it wisely. They should be ashamed of themselves. At least Fox News has an excuse for being the spin machine of the Republican party.